The AuguroSubscribe
Section

Politics

Power, institutions, and democracy

The Coalition Realignment Has Already Happened
Lead Story

The Coalition Realignment Has Already Happened

The realignment of American political coalitions along educational and geographic lines is not a prediction — it is a documented shift that is now structurally locked in, with implications that neither party's leadership has fully absorbed.

Marcus WebbMarch 18, 2026
The Fracturing of the American Center
Politics

The Fracturing of the American Center

For decades, political scientists told us the center would hold. They were wrong about the center — and wrong about what held it together in the first place.

Elena Vasquez12 min
Why the Senate Stopped Working
Politics

Why the Senate Stopped Working

The world's greatest deliberative body has stopped deliberating. The failure isn't about individual senators — it's about what we've asked the institution to do.

James Okafor10 min
The Administrative State at the Crossroads
Politics

The Administrative State at the Crossroads

The decades-long conservative legal project against administrative power has finally arrived at the Supreme Court. What it replaces, if anything, is the most consequential open question in American governance.

Elena Vasquez13 min
The Courts in the Crossfire
Politics

The Courts in the Crossfire

Prediction markets are pricing in something that legal scholars dare not say aloud: the federal judiciary's independence may already be lost.

Marcus Webb13 min
What the Immigration Debate Gets Wrong
Politics

What the Immigration Debate Gets Wrong

Both parties have built their immigration politics on fictions. The truth, as usual, is more complicated — and more interesting.

Priya Nandakumar14 min